Climate Prediction Center

El Niño Watch expects a good rainy season for the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Dust off your umbrellas after Christmas, and keep your fingers crossed.

There is a 76% chance of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere winter (December-February) 2022-23, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favored in February-April 2023 (57% chance). Below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) strengthened in the east-central Pacific Ocean during the past month (Fig. 1). All of the latest weekly Niño index …continue reading

El Niño Watch expects a good rainy season for the Northern Hemisphere Winter. Dust off your umbrellas after Christmas, and keep your fingers crossed.

Synopsis: There is a 75% chance of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere winter (December-February) 2022-23, with a 54% chance for ENSO-neutral in February-April 2023. Below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean during September (Fig. 1). Most of the Niño indices decreased during …continue reading